THE NUTS AND BOLTS. You also know that if this horse loses you will need to stake another £47 on the next bet, a total of over £160 and you only started off betting £1. However, the wizard again advises you to start with a perm stake of only 10 pence (total stake £1. Over the years I have received hundreds of letters from P. Start with the favourite Reject any horses not ridden by a top jockey Reject any horses without good form at the course Reject any horses trained by a yard with a. Well a euro1000 bankroll can quickly turn into a substantial amount with consistent value recognition and an intelligent staking plan. The required. Very nice indeed! The strike-rate has. In addition, the amount of time you can devote to a particular technique will also have an influence. For example if the profit target is $100 and a runner is at $6 the punter will bet $20. (In past times it was used to support 1st and 2nd forecast favourites in 3 mile handicap chases at the Principal National Hunt meeting of the day. this. The horse to be backed is 5/1. 00) to win is 3/1 (4. This progression staking approach is aimed at races where the favourite is better than $3. Win Strike rate per race: 28. It is. Designed to enhance your punting activity & help increase your profits. 5/2. Our sister software – The Bet Machine – TBM was released in 2020. Now in Online Software and Spreadsheet. If A wins the race at 3/1, with Horse B unplaced, the return will be $26. Initially, forum users likely believed the Maria Staking. 00) win chance in a 10-runner race has a place price of 9/5 (2. He told me that at Longchamps you could make big profits by backing two horses in the one race, even if both were at 3-1 and under. Secure Staking Plan. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. Some observations though. The Favourites Only Staking Plan is used ONLY for betting on race favourites which of course have a long term strike rate of generally between 31% and 33%. PROFESSIONALS WHO BET BY INSTINCT (Part 2) I thought we'd take time out to pause and reflect in this part of my series on staking. 2%. and now I've heard of one more plan! Using place bets, a friend told me he had not had a losing year for six years. It all comes back to volume and size of bets. Your return on the sole winner at 9/2 would be $18, leaving you with a loss of $6 on the day, compared with only $2 using the 6-Point Plan. Requires looking for favourites with smaller odds and a fair number of opponents: The smaller the odds on favourites, the smaller the risk: Time-consuming:. 10 odds or close to that price (i. For your weekend betting action. So if your getting 6/4 on an 1/1 shot your edge is 2. The three staking plans chosen were (1) Level Stakes, (2) The Kelly 5 Per Cent of Bank, and (3) The Key Progression. As with the quinella staking method given last month, the following trifecta staking method expects you to have six selections per race. For a low-risk system (e. Every Back/Lay Staking Plan in TSM is available to use in The Bet Machine. The Favourites Phenomenon Review blogspot com. . The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. Thus, you can have 20 consecutive losers before wiping out the bank. 1. Odds On Betting Systems Free Horse Racing Tips. Choose one as the banker, play the other two to save your stake (or make a small profit) and put the rest of your stake on the banker. 50 represents odds of almost exactly 6-4 ON. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 2 of your £100 bank means a £20 bet. 00), your liability is greater than what you stand to win. As the race turned out, they ran 1st and 2nd, with Theseo the winner. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 1. You need to consider a few things before deciding on whether you use a staking plan with a system and if you do use a STAKING PLAN, which one do you use . Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. 00 (~6 MB) This file is based on the standard betting tracker. Your return on the sole winner at 9/2 would be $18, leaving you with a loss of $6 on the day, compared with only $2 using the 6-Point Plan. So the 6-Point Plan loses 8. If on the other hand you were placing £10 on each horse you would be down by £30, nearly six times the loss than using level returns. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. Using the progression plan with these same bets the outlay was 8,390,014 for a return of 20,974,765. At 2/1, you can have 8 bets: 1-2-3-4-6-9-10-20. 5 per cent, while the staking plan returns a 59 units profit which equates to a Profit On Turnover (POT) of 13. From Adrian Massey’s website. The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. If there is sufficient confidence in the favourite winning, the punter should increase. In running order according to the times of the races, the order of bets went like this: Lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, lost, WON 9/4, WON 7/4, lost, lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, WON 2 / 1. 57 / 73. Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. 5 – 5, where 1 unit = $10. Place Level Stakes Loss on turnover: - 8. It's not something they can ever be cured of, but this staking plan at least attempts to put them in a better position to overcome the inherent financial dangers posed by chain betting. The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. Total P/L: 12. Now on to the money question. You might have even tossed in Not Fussy in the first event, and Our Highlander in the fifth, both at less than 2/1 ($2. 07% depending on the time. Giving us +£78, and -£79. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. The best possible staking plan using only low odds 👌; Step-by-step instructions on how to build the best staking plan for low odds 👣; Is it worthwhile to invest in a low-risk strategy? ⚠️; Top tips & tricks before creating the best staking plan for low odds ; The benefits and drawbacks of a low-odds stake plan 📊 Granted you would still have lost backing all favourites during the season just gone but the loss would be a more manageable -7. Arnaud: Receive latest horse racing news, race previews and our hand picked selections. Staking Plans. Landing a First 4 divvie can be a marvelously rewarding experience. Example: A unit can be any amount. You have chosen the two races you consider the best of the day. , 1. 50. Try sticking to favourites in fields of 10 or fewer, and ditch that staking plan. 40. Killer staking plan that reduces losses to a maximum of 2. Thus the nameThe. They are the backers of favourites and longshots. Australia Sports Betting has developed a free staking plan Excel spreadsheet which doubles as a betting tracker. Click to get the ebook. Five steps. Rather than putting another £10 bet on White Willow, you choose to ‘chase after' your loss from the last race. Win Level Stakes Loss on turnover: -11. OK so maybe you can only afford a bankroll of 1000 euro, which means your average unit will be 20. Bots can be setup to bet at a custom time, with custom staking plans and custom trade-out/hedge rules pre-event or in-play. Both favourites were coming back from a spell and could be risked, so the selections were the next four in the betting - Special Grange, Skewiff. Section A A1. Work out the approximate odds of each double. 75 to $3. 73%. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. Check the stakes periodically. e. 44 points. Staking Plans to startle your bank manager. Netmi - your trusted crypto guide. 40 and $2. Most staking plans do not tell you when to stop and take a cut so you keep on betting until a losing burst costs some or all of the profits. The extra $26 invested for a place profit of $17. 44. There are many staking plans such as Level Staking, Percentage Staking, Ratchet Staking, Maria Staking, Banded Staking, 1-4 Laying, etc. The Square Root plan is a form of staking where we bet more when we are in profit and return to original stakes when in loss. The good and bad days are yours to decide on, but you have to end up with one-third of the year good and two-thirds bad. In a way, it sums up betting. Favourites. Bet Two and Bet Three are also one unit, as 4 - 1 any winner will return us at least $5, or at least 66 per cent on outlay. 50) or better, then bet 20 units on Horse B and 20 units on Horse C. Start Bank – Self Explanatory. With our professional guidance you don't need to have a degree in finance, special trading or programming skills. If your bank is $1,000 then your betting unit will be $10. Most of the other recommended staking plans are more complicated to use than either Secure or Whitaker Staking. Even the "anti" Martingale is a staking plan. Total profit, both columns: 17 units. Evidence enough of their worth, taking the past as the guide, is that if a favourite fits into this statistical group the percentages indicate it has a strong winning chance. You can have one strategy betting on favourites, a second one trading on horse races, a third one betting on tennis matches and several other strategies betting on football events or tipster tips. These 3 lay systems encapsulate the wide. A winning 2-1 bet would raise the. (b) If Horse A loses, or wins at less than 9/2 ($5. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. 50 or better. The seventh bet is again $45. Percentage of Bankroll for Favourites: When laying favourites or horses at lower odds, using a percentage of your bankroll might optimise returns while ensuring risks are manageable. e. Races won: 1763. The top staking plans explained from an expert’s standpoint. So I wanted to find out what staking plan was best for. Problem!Matched betting is all about place no risk bets but dutching sees you increase the stakes somewhat. Very nice indeed! The strike-rate has been 56%, i. As opposed to you just guessing that you’ll bet $20 on the Jets game. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. You can set targets to achieve and, with common sense and some good luck, reach them. Punters see staking plans as a panacea for poor systems. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. If you have five bets a. ’ Using a staking plan is one of the best measures to betting that maximizes winnings with fewer losses. After a winner, drop back a half unit. Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. Determine your unit stake: your expected strike rate is 50% so you decide to bet 2% of your bankroll on each selection,. At the same meeting in the Coolmore Classic, the equal favourites were Typhoon Tracy and Gallant Tess. 5 the place price can be 1. Become experienced in one sportYou can have one strategy betting on favourites, a second one trading on horse races, a third one betting on tennis matches and several other strategies betting on football events or tipster tips. 2 odds daily. Average Win Dividend: $2. Only useful on profitable systems. 50 to recuperate the bet you lost on Golden Horn. However, using the best staking plan may just be as difficult as getting the right bets. FAVOURITE IN A THIRTEEN HORSE FIELD. Betting in level stakes, the profit works out at 2. Column A: Total Stake: $34 Return: $42. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. g. 5 per cent). This calls for a total outlay of 26 units over 10 bets. Your starting bank, is, say 100 units. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. Assigning unit stakes to bets can be useful as it makes the punter more disciplined and less likely to over bet an event. For instance, if you have just backed a 5-2 winner, you advance two steps. Also consider level staking and to reduce losing runs put small amounts on a couple of dangers if you really need to. If the bet loses, double your stake on your next horse. The latter progression works on the basis that each figure is bet the same number of times it represents (i. in the April, 1987, issue. 20) – You have heard the two sayings – practice makes perfect and patience is a virtue, well, this is very true in this case. In a way, it sums up betting. Pick your three best horses in each of the races (or take the pre-post favourites). Percent to Bet – Initial Percentage of the Start Stake relative to the start bank. This is an easy strategy and yet it can’t always ensure profit. Sat 26 May 2018 12 13 00 GMT 05. This is a solid staking plan, with clear logic behind it: if you have hit a short losing streak, but your overall chance of winning is much higher, it makes sense to. Strategies can also be exported and later imported if needed, this allows you to share your betting strategies with other users. A horse that is 12/1 (13. In this informative article, we guide you through the best staking plans for betting, truly a game-changer for anyone keen on boosting their success rate. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. In handicaps of 8+ runners, divide the outright win odds by four. The second-favourite must. They are offered on a first-come, first-served basis and can be sold out anytime. The square root impact for a $5 profit is $2, and this is multiplied 10 times. Horse C = 20 / 73. If it loses, your bankroll will now be at £475, meaning bet two will be for £23. Move up the sequence by one number. b = The bet odds in decimal form, -1. The first bet is always one unit so the first stake is £1. Place bets 1sec or hours before the race starts; Bet filters: Min/max number of runners, Max stake/liability protection, % back/lay ratio, Unsettled bets allowed, Multiple staking plans 1. The longest losing run on the day was three bets. Initially this was a simple spreadsheet used for backtesting various betting. Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. Choose multiple favourites automatically ie. Happy Families is not just a card game. com was first established in 1999 as a down to earth punters' site without all the fake sales hype and pop ups. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN. Labouchere. In his book Commonsense Betting, which is arguably the finest book written on the betting and the mathematics of horse-racing, US author Dick Mitchell wrote about various staking plans. The Bet Machine Help Manual. 60 we would get a 3/1 treble up. So, for example, every. Th. Last month we began this series which focuses on the 10 systems and staking plans that a group of PPM contributors has voted "the best" of the past 17 years, though they all said they could easily have chosen another 100! Deciding which systems are the tops proved a tougher job than we'd anticipated. Then when you are ready, head on over to The Bet Machine Website ! In this setup we follow 5 Betaminic strategies and we want to bet on each of them with different staking plans, betting bank sizes or stake sizes. Horse A 28. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. For the purposes of an example, I have used a starting bank of 200 units. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. 5 to 8. Then do your other selections, never picking more than 2 horses per leg. Over the years, enough has been written about the fact that betting on favourites is not profitable, even if they do win roughly 30 per cent of races. The first bet is always one unit so the first stake is £1. Using Fixed Liability for High Odds: When laying horses with very high odds, a fixed liability staking plan can ensure losses don't spiral out of control. Five Star Staking Plan. In a continuing series, we are publishing. When your stake is 3 units eachway or higher, drop back one full point after a winner. If the horse wins at 4/1 or over, you recover all losses plus you will mostly make a profit. THE SAFE INSURANCE PLAN My idea with this plan is to provide you with a staking idea that gives you the chance of good returns, and yet provides a key element of insurance against big losses. Even short priced favourites and each-way betting have legitimate places in our betting plays. 00) or 10/1 (11. Punters betting with serious money probably wont find this plan as useful. Using Fixed Liability for High Odds: When laying horses with very high odds, a fixed liability staking plan can ensure losses don't spiral out of control. Favourites Bot. These are just a few ideas to help you get on the profit curve path using progression plans. I think he was right. readers and I've noticed a similar vein running through many of them-how to bet safely and yet still make a healthy profit? The most common queries regard betting two or more horses a race. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. Now, in a couple of rules, you have this entire system. These are strike rates of 25 per cent, 21 per cent, 12 per cent, 13 per cent, 11 per cent and 4 per cent. Included is. Bank One would now stand at $880, and Bank Two would stand at $975. Now, PPM readers have the chance to take advantage of the Banker Weekly articles by The Optimist, Jon Hudson, George 'Barker' Bellfield and Martin Dowling. The Fibonacci Staking plan also goes bankrupt in 6% of simulations with 1 point stakes and only got a profit of 286 points. 5 units loses and you drop 6. The plan is to bet 15% of your capital on horses in this price range. Staking Plan Calculator and Betting Tracker v1. Lets say you bet 200 bets a year. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. 5 which equals a stake of 16. 7%. Starters qualifying: 1763. Firstly, though, something about favourites and. . One of the key elements to success in sports betting is properly managing your bankroll and utilizing staking plans to control risk. I have different settings profiles setup in the TSM software, starting with the recommended settings from the book and then test them. Sadly, they don’t pay enough to cover your outlay, let alone show a profit. It is a simple guide to winning by barrier draw. 50), and linked all five into 10 win trebles at $10 each for your $100. Place Level Stakes Loss on turnover: -6. 3 per cent on turnover, while level stakes loses 25 per cent! Quite a difference. You get back $50 for a profit of $17 (+51. 200 2 1 1 1 1 1 1. 32 staking plans declared, analyses and ranked. Column H's formula can be varied to suit whatever your target amount is (and comfort level). Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. Drive the stakes into the ground. Taking this idea even further, we can examine the prospects of yet another interesting plan which relies on the favourites for its bets. ) Always commence staking 1 point per bet in each group. Identify short-priced favorites with value: you’ve. Use your form reading skills to decide if a candidate is a strong favourite or not. Staking Plan #1 presents a particularly bad sequence of 50 favourites, producing only 15 winners and level stakes loss of over 12 units, a Loss On Turnover (LOT) of 24. It's surprising - though it shouldn't be - how many professional punters continue to use 'divisor' betting. You bet as follows: (a) Three quinellas each race at $4 each, total $24. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. Now, every time you strike a loser you remain on the same stake as you bet. For example, you might use a scale of 0. He felt the strength of his betting was a very careful selection of his bets, mostly choosing short-priced favourites, and then applying. Pick out one city on which to operate. Both favourites were coming back from a spell and could be risked, so the selections were the next four in the betting - Special Grange, Skewiff. I think he was right. Starting with a betting bank of £1,000, using an expected win percentage of 94 (my actual win percentage is 95%) and a divisor of two, the betting bank as at 17 th October 2009 stands at £12,582. Unlike our standard. 56% of the selection didn’t win, and remember these horses are odds-on! I think this system looks very solid. Take 100 units out for the first day. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. In an 18 horse field, you are only looking at the top 9. The First 4 is an exotic bet type that is becoming more and more popular. Simply plug in how much you want to spend on any race or sporting event -- the software does the rest. In our opinion, the answer is “no,” but let’s examine a hypothetical scenario for building a 1. Once every year, around about this time, we take stock and look at where things are going. No, it didn't really (not that I think for a moment you believed me), but. This approach can often be referred to, disparagingly, as. Won Or Placed This Distance Before Statistics. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. But the reality is that it will never work on poor systems. Sounds small time we know and you want to be a high roller. . Two favourites at $2. Race Distance Change Statistics. The method, as you will probably realise, is designed to sort out true favourites. TAGS > odds on, odds on staking plan, short odds, short odds betting, short odds staking plan. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. 7/2 = 4. Staking plans can now be placed at your finger tips, doing really complicated calculations in milli seconds. 5 which equals a stake of 16. 50 on each race. The extra $26 invested for a place profit of $17. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. at 2/1 ON the place!), would give you $57 for just that final 20 per cent, together with the earlier returns of $38, $25, $17 and $11, a total of around $150 or 5/1. This plan allows increased bets on the basis of good winnings, a limit on losses which is clearly established at the start and the removal of some profits on the way. Take bet 10 above and you can see that a stake of £35 is required to win just £15 and you have already laid out over £85. Mar 26, 2023 #6. 76. 3. Staking Plans. 1991-2009. Everyone can multiply his hard earned capital here. For example, in a flat race at Ffos Las in July a horse named Flutterbee lined up as a 7/4 favourite. However, there is a 50% chance of your hitting a losing sequence of 12 and a 25% chance of a run of 14 losers. . Top Dog + Top Box = Top Bet. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. A staking plan is, essentially, a method to determine how much money should go on each bet. So, if your bank is $100 your betting unit is $1. 57 / 73. com has evolved into an informational, "encyclopedic" resource for lovers of horse racing. . The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 3. If it doesn 't you are. As can be seen from the table below, with a 40% strike rate you can expect to have a losing sequence of 10 somewhere in the series (there is a 75% chance of that happening). If the horse lost you would add the lost $2 to the Objective. Track Secrets (Part 3)Why staking plans for betting could mean the difference between making a profit or a loss from your betting activities. The plan I am putting forward is one where you wish to make a profit of two or more units with a winner at 2/1 or 4/1 or 10/1. Column H's formula can be varied to suit whatever your target amount is (and comfort level). A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. If your bank is $100, keep half of it in reserve and begin your betting with $50. Average Win Dividend: $3. The approach featured is aimed at those bettors who want to back three horses per race on a race-by-race basis. There is not a week goes past that I am not asked via e-mail what staking plan I use. I think the Jackform staking plan for favourites would work okay with football as the odds are low B BecomeRichasap Good luck and stay well . Track Secrets (Part 3)THE SUPER FAVS PLAN. In the last two parts of this series I have looked at various aspects of staking. Betting in level stakes, the profit works out at 2. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. Profiting from sports betting is a long-term slog. 1st and 3rd favourite. In this case, he would have $1. M. Your return for Bank One is $20 at 5/1, or $120. Bet strongly on true favourites. We cover golf news, golf equipment, golf odds, us open golf, pga tour, liv golf, and more. 5. Return for a 4-1 double would be $5. Top Dog + Top Box = Top Bet. Racerate. Therefore the stakes are adjusted accordingly. 3. Now, in a couple of rules, you have this entire system. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. Australia Sports Betting has developed a free staking plan Excel spreadsheet which doubles as a betting tracker. There was scope for finding three at evens or thereabouts, and linking them. It only takes one mistake when rating the top three or four horses to present the canny punter with a good lay opportunity here. It will also, over a period of time as the bets increase, withstand more than 48 without a winner. You can start before March 6 if you like of course, but it is the first. Sort of like Genesis in a way. But you must get your betting activities under control; it's as simple as that. For example if the profit target is $100 and a runner is at $6 the punter will bet $20. Th. Then do your other selections, never picking more than 2 horses per leg. 40 don't pay the $50 outlay. <br /> Image 14<br /> There is only one betting bank, but % of betting bank can be set for each favorite individually!<br /> Details of two staking plans are provided for consideration for your place betting activities. Like with all examples, the bet loses. On that day they either won as favourites or they won at 15/1 and 20/1. It backs away teams that are not strong favourites but have a decent long term away record against a. If you were betting to return say $100 per winner, you would have had $40 on the $2. 14).